After deregulation fueled a record credit boom and property prices turned, Sweden's banks — with balance sheets near 100 percent of GDP — found their foreign wholesale credit drying up amid signs of instability. Nordbanken, already majority state-owned, declared large credit losses in 1990; Gota Bank followed. The danger was a system-wide run: every bank's funding was suspect because nobody could tell the sick from the sound.

On September 24, 1992, the government announced a blanket guarantee of every bank obligation except share capital and perpetual subordinated paper — designed, as an IMF study put it, to protect the payments system and the supply of credit. Then came the politically hard part: the state took Nordbanken and Gota Bank into public ownership outright, taking losses on the equity rather than propping it, and moved their bad assets into two state asset-management companies, Securum and Retriva, funded with SEK 28 billion of equity capital and SEK 14 billion of loan guarantees.

The separation let each half be managed for value instead of panic. Securum and Retriva acquired SEK 112 billion of assets at a written-down book value of SEK 66 billion, then worked them out — debtors restructured, collateral taken over, property sold privately or through IPOs — until 98 percent of the portfolio was disposed of when Securum closed in 1997, earlier than planned. The blanket guarantee itself was never exercised; it expired into an ordinary deposit-insurance scheme on July 1, 1996.

Guarantee creditors, wipe owners, sunset the whole law

The guarantee was bounded by design — share capital excluded — so it protected the payment system while leaving owners' losses on the owners, which kept the rescue cheap and incentives sane.

Nationalization with real recapitalization avoided zombie banks: the state injected equity at the level the banks actually needed instead of drip-feeding the failing ones.

The AMCs turned a fire-sale problem into a time problem: with a mandate to manage and dispose over years, the state sold into recovery instead of a falling market.

The temporary, expiring support framework made the exit credible — markets could see the state's role had an end date, and it did, in July 1996.

In a systemic bank run, separate the three problems: pay the payment system, take over the failed owners, and give the bad assets a vehicle that can wait. Insure creditors, not shareholders.

The Bank Support Authority administered the program, and the blanket guarantee was never drawn — its existence did the work. Retriva merged into Securum in 1996, and Securum wound up in 1997 after disposing of 98 percent of its portfolio. Sweden's sequence — guarantee the creditors, take over the owners, give bad assets a vehicle that can wait, exit on a schedule — became the reference model: in February 2009, as the global crisis deepened, the St. Louis Fed published a briefing for US policymakers titled 'Resolving a Banking Crisis, the Nordic Way.'

FOLLOW THE EVIDENCE

The sources

  1. Sweden: Bank Support Authority, Blanket Guarantee, 1992 doi.org
  2. Swedish AMCs: Securum and Retriva doi.org
  3. Resolving a Banking Crisis, the Nordic Way fraser.stlouisfed.org