In the late 1920s Southwestern archaeology had no calendar. The Pecos Conference's culture periods carried no dates; Basketmakers at 2000 B.C. went unchallenged, and as Emil Haury recalled, descriptions of ruins were 'sterile without a valid sense of time.' The astronomer A. E. Douglass, who had begun studying tree rings to trace sunspot cycles, held two unjoined sequences: a historically anchored chronology from living trees reaching back only to about A.D. 1260, and a 585-year 'Relative Dating Series' floated from beams of ruins — Aztec, Pueblo Bonito, Cliff Palace, Betatakin.

The 1929 Third Beam Expedition aimed at the bridge by prediction: pottery graded red to yellow through time, so orange-pottery ruins should hold the spanning wood. At the Whipple Ruin near Show Low on June 22, 1929, a shovel exposed a charred roof timber — HH-39, center ring 1237. That evening, by gasoline lamplight, Douglass matched his skeleton plots: the overlap was only 26 years — 'there was no gap at all... Beam HH-39 has established the bridge.' Pueblo Bonito fell into the 11th and early 12th centuries; Mesa Verde, Betatakin and Keet Seel into the mid-13th.

The lab's own teaching materials still frame the trick: ring growth is not reliably annual — 'locally absent' and 'false' rings make mere counting inaccurate, while crossdating, 'also known as pattern matching,' ensures accurate dating. Douglass reported the union in National Geographic in December 1929, predicting HH-39 would 'hold a place comparable to Egypt's Rosetta Stone' in American archaeology.

Match ring patterns across trees, never count rings

Trees across a region record the same droughts and wet years, so the anomaly pattern — not the ring count — is the true identity of each year.

Missing and false rings are exactly the errors counting produces; pattern matching absorbs them without drift.

Each new beam overlaps an older one, so the anchored chronology extends backward like a chain of witnesses.

Show Low was chosen by prediction from pottery color, so theory told the diggers where the bridging wood had to be.

Counting repeats what a theory assumes; matching anchors it to evidence. When error accumulates along a chain, cross-check overlapping fragments instead of trusting the tally.

The bridged chronology became the absolute time scale of Southwestern archaeology, and dendrochronology was formalized with the founding of the Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research at Arizona in 1937. The same pattern-matching logic now dates fires, earthquakes and droughts, and tree-ring series underpin the calibration curves that keep radiocarbon dates honest.

FOLLOW THE EVIDENCE

The sources

  1. HH-39: Recollections of a Dramatic Moment in Southwestern Archaeology (Tree-Ring Bulletin 24:11-14) repository.arizona.edu
  2. Crossdating Tree Rings Using Skeleton Plotting - Introduction ltrr.arizona.edu
  3. Ring-Growth Anomalies: why ring counting is not adequate ltrr.arizona.edu