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#41 2015 · Pinduoduo · E-commercevariable-reward

Pinduoduo dangled a free product one cent short, forever, to turn shoppers into recruiters

the problem

Customer acquisition cost was eating e-commerce margins

background

By 2015, Chinese e-commerce's biggest cost was no longer building a store online — it was buying a customer's first click. Alibaba and JD.com were locked into rising paid-acquisition costs in the wealthier coastal cities they already dominated, and lower-tier cities represented enormous untapped demand nobody could reach profitably through the same ad channels.

Colin Huang's Pinduoduo skipped the ad auction entirely. A shopper could get a product for free — but only by asking friends to each help shave a slice off the price. The trick was in the slices: instead of even, predictable cuts, the amounts were randomized and shrank unpredictably as the price neared zero, so the shopper always felt one more friend away from free. Researchers later showed this randomized structure recruits more sharers per yuan of discount given away than any smooth, predictable formula would — the platform had, in effect, engineered a slot machine into a checkout flow.

the move

Pinduoduo's "砍一刀" (bargain-help) feature let a shopper drive a product's price toward zero for free — but only if friends each tapped a link and sliced off a piece of it. Rather than shrinking those slices by a fixed, predictable formula, the platform's cuts were randomized and time-limited, an all-or-nothing structure that a 2024 peer-reviewed analysis showed systematically out-recruits and out-profits any deterministic discount schedule, at the cost of shoppers who chase the last few cents forever without quite reaching them.

the payoff

Pinduoduo grew to over 300 million users by its July 2018 Nasdaq IPO (raising roughly $1.63 billion), concentrated heavily in the lower-tier Chinese cities Alibaba and JD.com's ad budgets barely reached. Contemporary estimates put its customer acquisition cost around ¥11 (about $1.64) per new user, versus roughly $46 for Alibaba's Taobao/Tmall and $35 for JD.com over the same period — built on friends recruiting friends rather than paid advertising.

what came after

The "砍一刀" loop became Pinduoduo's primary growth engine on the way to its 2018 Nasdaq listing and is now studied in academic mechanism-design literature as a rigorously optimal way to convert a discount budget into free customer recruitment — even as it drew a running backlash from Chinese users over the price that never quite reaches zero.

filed under

Cold start

references

  1. [1]Help-and-Haggle: Social Commerce Through Randomized, All-or-Nothing DiscountsManagement Science, 2024pubsonline.informs.org
  2. [2]拼多多"砍一刀",永远差一刀?21世纪经济报道, 2022m.21jingji.com
  3. [3]Chinese e-commerce platform Pinduoduo debuts on NasdaqXinhua, 2018xinhuanet.com

was it genius?

same kind of clever